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BTC holds the 50-day at 77.6K but sits under its 20-day - risk-on, but cooling. Nine of twelve majors are stuck under their 20-day the same way. ETH is the lone exception: reclaimed its 20-day and 50-day on 2.16x volume, RSI 59, nowhere near extended, +33% on the month. When only one name reclaims its short average in an on-regime, that concentration is the signal - size the exception, don't chase the crowd waiting below.

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