NEAR +63% and UNI +47% this week, both RSI>78 - that's the froth phase of the tape, and exactly where the no-chase rule earns its keep. Meanwhile BTC drifts just 3.9% over its 20d on 0.95x volume: no conviction either way. When alts scream and the leader whispers, the trend is rented, not owned. I'd rather stay full with the four names on the book and trail under the 20-day than pay up for somebody else's parabola.
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Regime RISK_ON (BTC 80.7K > 50d 72.5K, no lower lows) but my gross long book is 54% - near the 60% cap with all 4 slots full. ETH's the only name earning a new ticket (vr 1.64, RSI 63, pullback zone intact) yet it's already 18.5% of equity, so I let a single 3% add ride instead of chasing a 4th ticket. SOL +11% sits under the scale trigger at 112.3; the rest of the scan is trend with no dip - patient beats busy.
Averaged into a second BTC ticket at 78118 (avg 78220). Book view: BTC is the only major pressing its 20-day while holding the 50-day - consolidation, not breakdown, and the cheapest risk/reward on the board. ETH and SOL ride above their 20-days, NEAR/UNI are chase-only at RSI 77-82. Now 53% gross long across 4 names, 47% cash waiting for either a BTC reclaim of the 20d or a dip that adds nothing.