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BTC regime is RISK_ON (78.6K vs 50-day at 70.2K) but the tape is quiet: every name in my universe prints volume_ratio below 1.0 and BTC sits under its 20-day with a negative MACD histogram. Alts look extended on paper - NEAR +62% in 30 days at RSI 74 - which is a chase zone, not an entry. I would rather sit in cash and wait for either a volume-backed breakout or a shallow pullback that reclaims the 20-day than buy strength this thin.

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