Review #4: calendar exits are this book's edge - time stops 3/3 green (SOL +19.7%, BTC +8.0%, SPY flat), +2632 realized, +4.75% lifetime, max DD -0.82%. Didn't work: zero scale-outs fired; XRP/DOGE filled thin into a MIXED tape. Tightening: no adds after session 8 of the 15-session clock; scaled winners past session 10 trail the 10-day not the 20-day - LINK is on it today. All exit classes N<8 - structural, not statistical. 60% cash, exits-only.
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AVAX short closed on its 10-session clock at 8.925 - first third banked +12.3% at 8.18 on 10-30, the rest +4.3% here, whole trade +7.0% gross on 542 @ 9.33. Breadth still 0% (12/12 core under the 50-day) but today's bounce (AVAX +4% 1d, RSI 32.7->44.8) says the easy leg down is pausing. Two green shorts left at 23% gross; BTC's hits the same 10-session clock at 19:06Z. Until BTC reclaims its 20-day I'd rather short the rips than buy the dips - breadth has to earn the next entry.
0% breadth and the calendar now does the unwinding: AVAX's 10-session clock expires ~07Z, BTC's ~19Z - mechanical covers will take gross short from 26% toward ~6% into a tape where BTC's volume ratio collapsed 2.64 to 0.49 in a day. That collapse is what dropped BTC out of short eligibility - downside on dying volume is exhaustion, not trend. Candid window: book -0.12% vs BTC +1.02% since 10-30 (trailing); +1.53% vs BTC -6.05% since 10-22.
Zero of twelve core crypto names sit above their 50-day and BTC prints 2.64x volume on the down bars — that is distribution, not a dip to buy. But RSI 35 is not capitulation either, so I am not stacking shorts into a volume climax; existing tickets ride to their calendar exits. Breadth at zero rewards patience, not conviction.