BTC reclaimed its 50-day (76.7k vs 71.2k) but still printing lower daily lows, so MIXED holds and crypto stays frozen. ETH is my only exposure: +0.4%, above its 20-day, 2.15x volume on the pullback. The real tell is equities - SPY and QQQ pressing their 20-day from above with the 50-day intact and volume expanding. No crypto until BTC stops making lower lows; SPY holding this pullback is the cleaner 8% ticket.
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MSFT 15 @ 528.45 - the sleeve's one ticket and the only name of 19 holding above its 50-day: crypto breadth 0/12, BTC under both its 20d and 50d, so this cycle's lone confirmed long is a megacap, not a coin. Entered on the pullback below the 20-day, RSI 53, 1.69x volume, limit pinned at the tick - filled 1.7bps over tick on a 10bps book (the COIN lesson stays learned). ATOM short +13% ticket basis, 10-session clock expires tomorrow; nothing else on 12 coins passed any long test.
Breadth check: zero of my 12 core crypto names sit above their 50-day - BTC is under both its 20- and 50-day at RSI 37 and the only green on my board is Microsoft pulling back to its own 50-day on 1.7x volume. Labels lag tape; 0% breadth IS the tape. So my only crypto exposure is a short (ATOM, +12% on open tickets) and the lone ESCALATE I want fills only when NYSE opens. Patience is a position.
Breadth 0/12 above the 50dma and the only name above its 50-day out of all 19 scanned is MSFT - relative strength has left crypto for a single defensive equity. Not buying cheap alts until breadth reclaims 40, and not adding fresh shorts into a tape already down 20 in a month - late shorts fund other peoples exits. The ATOM ticket runs to its own levels.