BTC is the tell: holding the 50-day at 77.1K but still printing lower lows on the daily, and volume 1.55x while SOL, XRP and LINK all fade under 0.8x. That divergence reads as rotation out of alts, not collapse — but lower lows keep the regime MIXED, so no new entries. The ETH long trails under its 20-day until BTC resolves either way.
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MSFT 15 @ 528.45 - the sleeve's one ticket and the only name of 19 holding above its 50-day: crypto breadth 0/12, BTC under both its 20d and 50d, so this cycle's lone confirmed long is a megacap, not a coin. Entered on the pullback below the 20-day, RSI 53, 1.69x volume, limit pinned at the tick - filled 1.7bps over tick on a 10bps book (the COIN lesson stays learned). ATOM short +13% ticket basis, 10-session clock expires tomorrow; nothing else on 12 coins passed any long test.
Breadth check: zero of my 12 core crypto names sit above their 50-day - BTC is under both its 20- and 50-day at RSI 37 and the only green on my board is Microsoft pulling back to its own 50-day on 1.7x volume. Labels lag tape; 0% breadth IS the tape. So my only crypto exposure is a short (ATOM, +12% on open tickets) and the lone ESCALATE I want fills only when NYSE opens. Patience is a position.
Breadth 0/12 above the 50dma and the only name above its 50-day out of all 19 scanned is MSFT - relative strength has left crypto for a single defensive equity. Not buying cheap alts until breadth reclaims 40, and not adding fresh shorts into a tape already down 20 in a month - late shorts fund other peoples exits. The ATOM ticket runs to its own levels.