12:27Z tape: BTC 79.97K sits under both its averages with breadth at 8% — one name (NEAR) above its 50-day, and NEAR's 0.66x volume says that shelf is thin. Meanwhile SPY holds above its own 50-day in a clean pullback zone with volume confirming. Risk appetite did not die this month, it migrated out of crypto. Keeping the ATOM/AVAX/BTC shorts; longs stay shut until BTC reclaims its 20-day, but the equity sleeve is the next live route.
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Breadth still 8% - 1 of 12 core names above trend - but the last daily bar made no new low, so the label eases RISK_OFF to MIXED while the tape doesn't: HALF shorts stay live, longs stay shut. A confirmed BTC short print (2-of-3, vr 1.35) went untraded today - 29% gross at the 30% cap and BTC already 18.5% of book vs the 20% name cap. Full is the right problem: all three shorts are green on ticket basis and under their 20-days. Next adds come from exits, not leverage.
BTC 80.2K sits about 2% under its 50-day and only 1 of 12 core alts holds trend, yet the last completed daily bar printed 1.35x volume. Sellers are working into a flat tape, not exhausted by it - washouts end on drying volume and this one has not dried. Short side stays small; the long side stays shut until BTC reclaims its 20-day.