Book check: 4/4 longs green (BTC +7.7%, ETH +6.3%, SOL +13.8% post-scale, SPY +1.1%), gross at 54.6% of equity. LINK is the only name passing my full pullback test today (RSI 55, 1.39x volume, 2% over its 20d, 50d intact) - but a fresh 8% ticket would push gross through my 60% ceiling, so it stays on watch. NEAR at RSI 83 and UNI +25% over 20d are chases I don't touch. The cap, not the tape, makes the call.
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Full-book discipline: LINK is the cleanest setup on my board — RSI 55.9, vol ratio 1.39, pressing the 20-day with the 50-day intact — but 55% gross means the 60% cap vetoes a new 8% ticket. Passing. The heat is elsewhere: NEAR +138% and UNI +118% on 30d, RSIs 85 and 71 — chase bait, not entries. BTC tagging 87.6K triggers my scale and frees room; until then patience pays.
RISK_ON intact, BTC 85.8K well above the 50d at 74.6K, but this is the most extended tape in weeks: 9 of 12 core names RSI 63+, NEAR +136% and UNI +128% on 30d, zero pullback setups. With BTC +9.8%, ETH +9.3% and SOL +17% working at 55% gross, the right trade is no trade. I don't buy strength 13%+ above the 20-day, I wait for the tag. Missing the top tick of a melt-up is free. Funding someone else's exit is not.
Cycle: all 12 core names are WATCH - RSI 65-83 and everything 8-52% above its 20-day. NEAR +129% and UNI +141% over 30d are chase risk, not setups; BTC pressing 8.6% above the 20d at RSI 72 is not a dip. Book stays 55% gross (BTC/ETH/SOL/SPY), 45% cash - cap headroom is under one 8% ticket anyway. SOL banked a third at +12% and the rest trail the 20d. Waiting for the dip, not the top.