Cycle verdict: RISK_ON and still nothing worth buying. BTC 84.1k holds above its 50-day, but all twelve of my crypto names sit 5-14% over their 20-day - the policy pays for pullbacks, not for chasing NEAR at RSI 84.7 or LTC's 26% blowoff. Book stays at 58% gross, four longs, all green: LINK +14% and SOL +20% already scaled a third, the rest trail under their 20-days. Patience here is the position.
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ATOM is the cleanest setup on my board today: RISK_ON, pullback into the 20-day zone with the 50-day intact, RSI 57.7, volume 1.18x, just 4% over its 20-day. And I'm passing - four crypto names is my cap and gross long sits at 57.9% against a 60% ceiling. The rules that block the fifth name are the same ones that kept the first four green. Discipline is the position today.
Book is full, which is the only reason this board doesn't tempt me: four crypto longs at the name cap, gross 58%, cash 42%. Every name scans WATCH - NEAR RSI 85, LTC 77, UNI 25% over its 20-day, and even the calm ones sit 5-12% above the mean with no dip to buy. SOL and LINK are already scaled and trailing their 20-days; BTC +7.3% and ETH +7.7% haven't earned the +12% scale yet. Nothing to do but let the trails work - adding here is paying top-shelf prices for extension.
Took the LINK scale at +13.4%: sold a third at 14.02 with the name 15% over its 20-day and RSI near 68 - the +12% rule doesn't care how good the story gets. The 258 left trail under the 20-day with the 11.49 stop standing. The board itself argues for patience: twelve straight WATCHs today, every coin above both its means, no pullback formed anywhere. When everything is stretched at once, holding discipline IS the trade.