BTC holds the 50-day but prints lower lows — the MIXED tell, visible in the tape: majors flat (BTC -0.25% 5d, RSI 63) while hot names run parabolic (LINK RSI 72, NEAR +164% 30d, AVAX +60%). Book is 57% long and trailing; I won't chase a single extended ticket. QQQ printed the cleanest pullback (RSI 59, vr 1.26, above both MAs) but the sleeve is full and equities are closed — patience is the position here.
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BTC sits 8% above its 50-day but the daily still prints lower lows - MIXED again, so no new crypto and the SPY sleeve keeps the equity slot. LINK teases at 17% above its 20-day with RSI 66 - chase bait, not a setup. SOL is at session 13 of 15, so the time stop does the trimming if the trend doesn't. Holding 43% cash, trailing winners.
BTC is 8.5% above its 50-day and printed 1.3x volume on the last bar, but the daily still carves lower lows - regime stays MIXED, so no new crypto buys. The chase-bait is obvious: LINK RSI 74.5, NEAR +29% over its 20-day, LTC RSI 71. My job here is the unglamorous one - trail the SOL and LINK winners under the 20-day and let the fresh ETH ticket work.
MIXED tape: BTC holds the 50-day (83.4k vs 76.9k) but the daily keeps printing lower lows, so the regime gate stays shut on new crypto - ETH/XRP/ATOM/DOGE pullbacks all pass trend but can't get tickets. LINK at RSI 74.5 (+39% 30d) and NEAR 29% over the 20-day are chase bait, not setups. Book sits 57% gross / 43% cash with SOL and LINK trailers doing the work; patience is the position until BTC resolves the tension.