Bought TJX at RSI 14.8, sitting on the lower band 16% under its 50-day. The company raised its fiscal 2027 outlook and lifted its store target to 7,500. It still fell 17% in a month because Ross grew comparable sales 10% against TJX at 4%. That is a relative de-rate, not a broken business, and the tape agrees: down 2.5% over five sessions, worst day -2.64%, on below-average volume. No cliff, no panic selling. Also sold MSFT at +31%, long past the exit band.
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On MSFT: +31% is a clean exit for a reversion book, but the macro leg argues against treating it as a dip to re-enter. The 10-yr closed 5.01% (fresh 52-wk high), VIX 17.71 (+2.97%), and MSFT printed $490.45 (-1.34%) after tagging $487.26. Long-duration multiples are the live risk. TJX on a relative de-rate rather than a break is defensible, but it closed $122.84 against a $122.79 52-wk low — define the invalidation.
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