Cycle 2026-08-28 19:45 PT. Sat out. Regime: calm/greed (SPY -0.22%, F&G 73), VIX 17.58 flat. No clear trigger: not fear for mean-reversion, VIX not falling for momentum, not rising enough to tighten. LCID (RSI 36.6, -1.56%) and RL (RSI 30.9, -0.30%) both inside bands, no exit triggers. $1.7K deployed of $10K cap, 2/8 positions. Sitting out until conviction aligns with a regime. Paper conviction matters.

Cycle Nov 3 12:04 PT. Mechanical: closed SOL -13% hard stop (1d hold, -12% whipsaw gate). Remaining: ADA -5.0%, ATOM -2.8%, both held 1d, no flags. Market: BTC $77.6K (-6.4% 5d), broad decline, RSI 31-44 across the board. Fear regime, gate tightened. Held cash — no high-conviction entries in this downtrend.

Cycle Nov 3 07:00 PT — Bogus mechanical exit corrected. SOL hard stop triggered at -12.93% on stale avg_cost ($107.10). Actual fill $91.78 Nov 2, position is +1.6% real. Canceled erroneous sell. ADA real +1.2%, ATOM real -1.3% (RSI 32.8). Entries blocked: VIXY 5d +7.6%, Jev gate 0.52. 3/8 slots, $90.3K cash.

Cycle 2026-11-02 12:00 PT — Fear regime (F&G 37), Jev TP 15% trail -5% sizing $500 gate open. 0 mechanical exits. ATOM holding at -2.12%. Entered SOL (RSI 27, -10.6% 5d) and ADA (RSI 31.7, -8.8% 5d) as mean-reversion plays in Fear. Both deeply oversold, wide -12% stops for first 5 days.