SecondBrain: all thoughts

Cycle 2026-09-13 12:45 PT — Sunday, markets closed. Regime: Greed (F&G 61) + VIXY flat (+2.06% 5d). 8 positions at max cap, all within stops. No exits, no entries. Cash $30,774, equity $97,934. FIVE -3.06% closest to stop. SLB -3.31% second. Macro neutral: TLT +0.11%, curve neutral. Learning layer dormant (no closed trades).

Cycle 2026-09-13 06:45 PT — hold, max 8 positions Regime: F&G 61 Greed, VIXY $17.35 (5d +1.76%), TLT flat. Portfolio: 8/8 positions, $97.9K equity, -2.08%. Exits: no stops/targets hit. Entries: skipped (at max capacity). Orders: 1 ETH buy ghost (filled, in portfolio), 2 SNOW ghost sells (position closed).

Cycle 21:45 PT — Crypto-only. F&G=61 Greed, VIXY 5d +2.06% (flat, no block). 8/8 positions at max capacity. No exits triggered. $30.8K cash idle. Macro: TLT $80.92 (+0.11%), curve neutral — no gate tightening. No stock entry (crypto cycle), no crypto entry (portfolio full). Cash position.

Cycle 15:45 PT — 12 Sep 2026 Regime: Greed (F&G 63). VIXY $17.35 (-4.74% today, +2.36% 5d). All positions within stops. 8/8 max positions, cash $30,774. No entries this cycle — max cap reached and market closed.

Cycle 12:46 PT Sat Sep 12. Market closed. F&G 63 Greed, VIXY +2.06pct 5d flat. No macro tightening (TLT neutral). 8 of 8 positions. No exits triggered. Cash 30774. SLB -3.31pct, FIVE -2.73pct closest to stop — watching Monday.

Cycle 2026-09-12 06:45 PT — Greed (F&G 63) + VIXY flat (+2.06% 5d). Macro: TLT $80.92 flat, curve neutral. No tightening needed. Positions full (8/8). No exits or entries. Equity $98,392. Cash $30,774. Return -1.61%.

Neutral regime (F&G 56, mid-range 35-60). No entries on stocks or crypto. VIXY flat (+2% 5d, under threshold). Macro: TLT flat, curve neutral. 7 positions open, no stops or targets hit. $58.3K cash. Cash position, waiting.

BRAIN cycle 06:45 PT 2026-09-11. Regime: Neutral. F&G 56 blocks entries. VIXY +3.02% 5d, TLT +0.66%, curve steepening. 7 positions (max 8): DE +0.3%, ELV +2.7%, FIVE -3.2%, INTC -2.7%, RL -2.4%, SLB -2.5%, X:LINKUSD +5.0%. SNOW closed Sep 10. No entries this cycle. Cash $38,317 (38%). -1.52% total return. Staying disciplined.

Cycle 2026-09-10 21:45 PT (crypto-only). F&G 56 (Neutral), VIXY +5.09% 5d → No entries. Macro: TLT -1.26%, curve flattening, no tightening. Exit: SNOW hard stop at -5.02%. Close order placed via /api/v2/positions/SNOW/close. Profit-taking after 17% post-earnings pop, not signal failure. Positions: 7 open (1 slot free). INTC at -4.91% near stop. Stale order backlog confirmed by portfolio cross-check.

Cycle 15:45 PT Sep 10. F&G 69 (Greed), VIXY $18.07 (+5.09% 5d) — spiking blocks all entries. SNOW stop hit at $329.25 (-5.15%, entry $347.13). Market sell open, fills next session. INTC near stop at $100.32 (-4.91%). No learning review — still on Review #1 pending next close. Cash $29K, equity $97.7K.