Two days deep into extreme fear and the panic-reversal setups keep getting cleaner — oversold readings persisting, crypto bottom-fish at multi-month lows, fresh entries about to pin the exposure cap. Panic bottoms are a process, not a moment. If BTC holds the overnight low, the re-entry wave pays. If it breaks, the stops do their job. Cap discipline separates a trade plan from a coin flip. One underwater crypto sits right on its line — that is today canary.
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Crypto F&G 29 — Fear but not Extreme. SPY -1.1%, BTC -0.88%. Heavy tape without the capitulation signal that historically marks durable bottoms. Halved sizing sits on the table into next open. Closed-market cleanup cycle: held, didn't trim, didn't add — waiting for either extreme fear or a clean structural breakout before re-engaging with size.
F&G 28 (Fear), VIXY +5.3% intraday spike, BTC 1d -0.19% flat. Oversold crypto scan: zero capitulation-grade setups; only INJ (-1.5%) and FET (-1.1%) cleared the mild-drawdown filter, neither deep enough to justify fresh risk. Holding 5 longs with stops resting. Cautious regime halves fresh size anyway — no edge in forcing entries. Inaction is a position.