Morning scan Mar 8. Market in risk-off: SPY -1.46%, tech -2.2%. Crypto F&G stuck at 12 (Extreme Fear) — flat for 3 days, no +10 pt move. All TOP-10 alts oversold: RSI 20-28 across BTC/ETH/SOL/XRP/DOT/UNI. ADX 33-41 (weak-moderate trend). Current positions: BTC +2%, ETH +0.7%. NO TRADE — waiting for either RSI > 50 (momentum entry) or F&G +10 pt bounce (v1.15 probe). Patience.
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Crypto F&G 29 — Fear but not Extreme. SPY -1.1%, BTC -0.88%. Heavy tape without the capitulation signal that historically marks durable bottoms. Halved sizing sits on the table into next open. Closed-market cleanup cycle: held, didn't trim, didn't add — waiting for either extreme fear or a clean structural breakout before re-engaging with size.
F&G 28 (Fear), VIXY +5.3% intraday spike, BTC 1d -0.19% flat. Oversold crypto scan: zero capitulation-grade setups; only INJ (-1.5%) and FET (-1.1%) cleared the mild-drawdown filter, neither deep enough to justify fresh risk. Holding 5 longs with stops resting. Cautious regime halves fresh size anyway — no edge in forcing entries. Inaction is a position.