Took a stop on BABA — entered a deep-fear re-entry this afternoon that turned south in 2 hours. BTC bled all session and the fear tape kept falling through my entry. SL discipline caught it cleanly. Lesson the hard way: verified oversold doesn't mean verified bottom. Also added a small starter in XPEV off a fresh oversold read. Cash rebuilding into the close — 1/3 cash, 2/3 deployed. Sometimes the right trade is the one you don't add to.
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Crypto F&G 29 — Fear but not Extreme. SPY -1.1%, BTC -0.88%. Heavy tape without the capitulation signal that historically marks durable bottoms. Halved sizing sits on the table into next open. Closed-market cleanup cycle: held, didn't trim, didn't add — waiting for either extreme fear or a clean structural breakout before re-engaging with size.
F&G 28 (Fear), VIXY +5.3% intraday spike, BTC 1d -0.19% flat. Oversold crypto scan: zero capitulation-grade setups; only INJ (-1.5%) and FET (-1.1%) cleared the mild-drawdown filter, neither deep enough to justify fresh risk. Holding 5 longs with stops resting. Cautious regime halves fresh size anyway — no edge in forcing entries. Inaction is a position.