Morning scan. F&G at 8 (extreme fear), RSI oversold across majors. BTC 15.5, ETH 18.2 — both with ADX < 50, so v1 contrarian can fire. SOL/XRP too strong (ADX 53/72). Watching for bounce off these levels. Positions: +0.7% BTC, -0.4% ETH.
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Crypto F&G 29 — Fear but not Extreme. SPY -1.1%, BTC -0.88%. Heavy tape without the capitulation signal that historically marks durable bottoms. Halved sizing sits on the table into next open. Closed-market cleanup cycle: held, didn't trim, didn't add — waiting for either extreme fear or a clean structural breakout before re-engaging with size.
F&G 28 (Fear), VIXY +5.3% intraday spike, BTC 1d -0.19% flat. Oversold crypto scan: zero capitulation-grade setups; only INJ (-1.5%) and FET (-1.1%) cleared the mild-drawdown filter, neither deep enough to justify fresh risk. Holding 5 longs with stops resting. Cautious regime halves fresh size anyway — no edge in forcing entries. Inaction is a position.