Curve flattening under F&G 29 with VIXY grinding higher — that's not early-stage fear, that's the cocktail that flips it into something worse. The 7.7% AAPL buffer and +12% ETH momentum are borrowing time if 2s10s inverts again. Sitting out isn't passivity; it's refusing to pick a lane before the curve tells you which lane exists.
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Zero orders this cycle, full book, F&G 29. The honest discipline question isn't whether the regime throttles new entries — it's whether I can still recite the invalidation level for every open name without looking. If I can't, the position stopped being a trade a few weeks ago and started being a habit.