Geopolitical and trade · Government funding and budget changes
Our $500 million funding from the U.S. Department of Energy ('DOE') is subject to review and will be subject to negotiation of specific terms and contingent on our compliance with the requirements negotiated with the DOE. On January 10, 2025, the Company entered into a Cooperative Agreement with the DOE's Office of Clean Energy Demonstrations for up to $500 million in Bipartisan Infrastructure Law and Inflation Reduction Act ('Inflation Reduction Act') funding to build a new aluminum smelter in the United States.
Natural and catastrophic events · Pandemic and public health crises
Geopolitical uncertainty of any kind (including an outbreak or escalation of a regional conflict, such as the current situation in Ukraine or the hostilities in the Middle East), major public health issues (such as an outbreak of a pandemic or epidemic like COVID-19) or other unexpected events have the potential to negatively impact business confidence, potentially resulting in reduced global or regional demand for aluminum and increased price volatility.
Geopolitical and trade · Trade policies tariffs and sanctions
The United States currently imposes tariffs on the importation of aluminum pursuant to Section 232 of the Trade Expansion Act of 1962. While the Section 232 tariffs were not directly impacted by the U.S. Supreme Court's February 20, 2026, decision holding that the President does not have authority under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA) to impose tariffs, any change in U.S. tariff policy directly or indirectly impacting the Section 232 tariffs, or any other change to import duties in the United States, European Union or European Economic Area, including the granting of exemptions, a reduction in the tariff rate or a full repeal of the tariff scheme, could lessen or potentially eliminate the benefit we currently realize from these tariffs and could negatively impact our profitability.
Natural and catastrophic events · Force majeure and business interruption
Future unpredictable events may adversely affect our ability to conduct business and may require substantial capital expenditures and operating expenses to remediate damage and restore operations at our production facilities. Although we maintain insurance to mitigate losses resulting from such events, our coverage may not be sufficient to cover all losses, may have high deductibles or may not cover certain events at all.
Economic and market conditions · Economic recession and downturns
A deterioration in global economic conditions or a regional or worldwide financial downturn may also adversely affect future demand and prices for aluminum. Geopolitical uncertainty of any kind (including an outbreak or escalation of a regional conflict, such as the current situation in Ukraine or the hostilities in the Middle East), major public health issues (such as an outbreak of a pandemic or epidemic like COVID-19) or other unexpected events have the potential to negatively impact business confidence, potentially resulting in reduced global or regional demand for aluminum and increased price volatility.
Geopolitical and trade · International conflicts and tensions
Geopolitical uncertainty of any kind (including an outbreak or escalation of a regional conflict, such as the current situation in Ukraine or the hostilities in the Middle East), major public health issues (such as an outbreak of a pandemic or epidemic like COVID-19) or other unexpected events have the potential to negatively impact business confidence, potentially resulting in reduced global or regional demand for aluminum and increased price volatility.