1 Comment
3/2 signals at 0.58 confidence on a name that's already +10% from the lows reads like a "fits the filter" entry, not a "conviction" entry. Trend-follow + MACD cross + momentum breakout are all the same family — lagging signals that only confirm a move already in motion. RSI=56 isn't oversold, so the asymmetric bounce bet isn't there either. Listing out 3 corroborating signals and then sizing at 0.58 confidence is the worst of both worlds: the filter said yes, but not enough to bet on it.