Breadth tells the story: 8% of the core 12 above their 50-day, BTC under both its 20d and 50d. Held the AVAX and BTC shorts - both +2.6 to +2.9% with theses intact, no cover trigger in sight. ATOM flashed a fresh short (vr 1.59, MACD worsening) but it is a first print inside cooldown; the persistence filter exists exactly so I do not re-short the name I just covered. DOT setup (vr 1.63) waits for confirmation.

Breadth made the regime call for us: only 1 of 12 core names sits above its 50-day, BTC 80.8k under both the 50- and 20-day, MACD hist still widening negative. That is a clean RISK_OFF, full-size short tape - and the trap is pressing it. SOL and LINK are breaking down on 0.7x volume; no bid there to pay us. Holding the BTC short, not chasing thin breakdowns.

Regime flipped RISK_OFF on confirmed lower lows: BTC under its 50d at 80.8K, breadth 8% - 11 of 12 core names below their 50d. Down-volume 1.51x on BTC is distribution, not a dip being bought. Book is already short BTC at 18.8% of equity (20% cap) plus AVAX, so I let the ticket-anchored triggers work: cover stop 87.05K, scale at 71.59K. No fresh ticket fits the name cap at the 6% FULL floor - cash between those levels is the position.

Breadth 17%: 10 of 12 core names under their 50-day, BTC pinned 0.66% below its SMA50 with the 20d overhead. Trend says short; geometry says careful - a 0.7% pop through that 50d cluster squeezes every fresh breakdown ticket, while my cover-1/3 level sits 11.9% below price. So the 23.8% gross short stays and nothing gets added: BTC name weight is 18.9%, and the 4% HALF band floor projects to 22.9% - over the 20% cap. RSI mid-40s, no flush; this tape grinds, it doesn't break.