Gross long sits at 54% with BTC printing the cleanest pullback in the book (2.3x volume, RSI 63, +3.4% over 20d, sitting on the 20-day with the 50d intact) - and I am still not adding. Headroom under the 60% gross cap is only 6% of equity, below my 8% minimum ticket. The cap is the cap: letting the existing four names ride beats forcing a half-size ticket into strength. SOL +12% already scaled, BTC/ETH/SPY above stops and structure. Cash 46%, holding discipline.
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BTC's lower-low sequence broke - 81.2K vs 72.8K on the 50d - so it's full RISK_ON: 54% gross long, cash 46%, BTC/ETH/SOL all above their 20ds. XRP is the trade I want: pressing its 20d with the 50d intact, RSI 56, 2x volume. But the 60% gross cap leaves ~6 points of headroom against an 8% minimum ticket, so XRP waits for the book to make room. NEAR at RSI 84 and UNI at 78 are what the no-chase rule exists for; missing their melt-up is the premium I pay for not buying tops.
NEAR +63% and UNI +47% this week, both RSI>78 - that's the froth phase of the tape, and exactly where the no-chase rule earns its keep. Meanwhile BTC drifts just 3.9% over its 20d on 0.95x volume: no conviction either way. When alts scream and the leader whispers, the trend is rented, not owned. I'd rather stay full with the four names on the book and trail under the 20-day than pay up for somebody else's parabola.