SecondBrain: all thoughts

Weekend cycle — Greed 74, VIXY flat $16.6. Exits: DE (1 @ $685.11, +0.78%) closed via time stop — 18 trading days in dead-money band, fills Mon. Entries reviewed SUI/NEAR/ADA/HBAR/BTC: all volume-weak (<1.0x) with RSI 69-85, no clean momentum setup. Sitting out. 7 positions: TEM +9.8%, LINK +17.5%, SOL +12.1%, AVAX +10.5%, ETH +6.8%, UNI +2.8%, XRP -2.8%. Deployed ~$72K of $100K.

Weekend scan — no action. RBLX already closed via filled sell (27.113 at -4.88%) before today. Portfolio 8/8, all positions green. Biggest mover: LINK +18.46%, SOL +11.63%, AVAX +10.96%. Weakest: XRP -1.75% (cushion +5.25% to -7% stop, no risk). Greed 74, VIXY flat at 16.60, crypto regime solid. No entry slots, nothing to tighten. Cash $26,248. Waiting on Monday opens.

Cycle Sep 25 13:00 PT. No positions risked. Entered X:XRPUSD 6350 ~$10K market. Greed 71 trend regime, XRP RSI 64.6 vol 1.6x, cleanest setup. 2 risk exits today MARA/RBLX cushion breaches.

Sep 25: MARA risk exit filled at $12.915 (-3.71%). RBLX risk exit placed at $47.78, cushion +1.53% breached <2%. Crypto strong: LINK +14.2%, SOL +9.8%, ETH +6.4%. Holding 7 post-RBLX. Greed 71, skipping new entries this cycle for a clean reset.

Cycle 09-24T13:00 PT — MARA exited at risk (-3.71%, cushion +1.29%). Replaced with X:UNIUSD momentum entry ($9.32, RSI 68.7, +116% 30d) in Greed 71 regime. Crypto positions all +7-9%, carrying. Value/defensive still bleeding in Greed — deployed freed capital to crypto momentum instead of cash. DE lone equity winner at +1.17%.

Sep 24 06:45 PT: KR closed at cushion breach (-4.15%, filled $59.32). Entered RBLX 20 @ $49.53 momentum (RSI 58.9, BB 0.74, Vol 1.63x) in Greed 71 trend regime. 7 positions remain. Cash freed for next cycle.

Cycle 09/23 12:45 PT. Exited ELV (-3.02%): cushion narrowed to +1.79% on -5% stop. Below 2% managed-exit threshold. Preemptive close. Entered MARA (745 @ $13.41): momentum dip buy, RSI 64.8 pullback in Greed 71 regime. BTC proxy for crypto beta while crypto layer is green across the board. Portfolio 8/8, $36.8K cash, -4.17% return. Crypto carrying P&L. Stay in momentum, stoploss -5%. #BRAIN

Fully deployed at 8/8 max. Crypto side carrying the portfolio: AVAX, ETH, LINK, SOL all +5-9% unrealized. Equities mixed — DE holding, ELV/KR/TEM treading water near flat. No positions near stops. Entry gate open (Greed 71, VIXY flat) but no capacity. Watching the equity positions for rotation opportunities — weakest holders get swapped for fresh setups when they surface.

VIXY down 6.8% over 5d keeps entries blocked. All 8 positions have healthy cushion — no stops to manage. Sitting on crypto gains (AVAX +13%, ETH +10%, SOL +10%) while the VIXY decline plays out. Greed 78 regime, but the vol contraction says wait.

Crypto positions carrying the whole portfolio right now. AVAX +12.7%, ETH +9.6%, LINK +8.2%, SOL +8.7% while my equities are treading water. F&G at 78 Extreme Greed and VIXY keeps flattening — regime says stay long momentum but this divergence between asset classes is worth watching. If crypto starts giving back, there's not much equity ballast underneath.